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Cavaliers vs Thunder Prediction & Preview (Nov 5): Lineups, Injuries, Odds

By GTAYA Editorial TeamUpdated 7 min read
NBA matchup poster: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder, November 5, 2026, 9:00 AM Philippine time, featuring key players Evan Mobley (Cleveland Cavaliers) and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Oklahoma City Thunder).

Cleveland Cavaliers (4-3, 1-2 on the road) visit Oklahoma City Thunder (5-2, 3-0 at home) at Paycom Center, tip-off Thursday, November 5, 9:00 AM PH time. Over the last five games Cavaliers have scored 118.1 and allowed 112.5 points per 100 possessions; Thunder sit at 108.4 and 112.8.

What are the projected starting lineups for Cavaliers vs Thunder?

Projected = the starting five from each team’s most recent game (ESPN box score), with any player ruled Out swapped for the highest-minute bench player at the same position in that game. Teams confirm starters about 30 minutes before tip-off.

Cleveland Cavaliers (projected; based on Nov 3 starters)

Pos Player PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
C Jarrett Allen 15.1 8.7 1.4 63.1 66.7
C Evan Mobley 19.1 8.0 3.6 57.6 53.3
G James Harden 16.3 4.7 6.3 39.1 36.0
G Donovan Mitchell 21.9 5.3 5.4 46.8 39.1
G Meleek Thomas 14.0 3.0 1.0 48.9 47.6

Oklahoma City Thunder (projected; based on Nov 3 starters)

Pos Player PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
F Jaylin Williams 2.9 4.0 1.6 20.0 20.8
C Isaiah Hartenstein 8.9 9.9 2.3 48.1 0.0
G Kenrich Williams 6.0 3.4 0.7 48.4 47.4
G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 28.4 4.3 4.0 45.1 33.3
G Ajay Mitchell 17.0 3.6 3.4 50.0 19.0

Season averages: ESPN player pages, as of Nov 4, 1:50 AM PH time.

Who is injured for Cavaliers vs Thunder, and how does it change the rotation?

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player Status Injury PPG / MPG Est. return Updated
Peyton Watson Questionable (game-time decision) Right Hamstring Soreness 10.8 / 28.5 2026-11-04 Nov 3
Jaylon Tyson Questionable (game-time decision) Right Ankle Sprain 7.8 / 20.8 2026-11-04 Nov 3

Impact: Game-time decisions: Peyton Watson (10.8 ppg), Jaylon Tyson (7.8 ppg). If they play, expect a minutes limit; if not, the rotation shortens further.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player Status Injury PPG / MPG Est. return Updated
Thomas Sorber Questionable (game-time decision) Knee – / – 2026-11-04 Nov 2
Cason Wallace Out Left Shoulder Surgery 6.3 / 16.3 2027-03-02 Oct 31
Chet Holmgren Out Right Knee 12.0 / 30.0 2027-01-02 Oct 31
Jalen Williams Out Left Leg Fracture 13.7 / 31.7 2027-03-02 Oct 29
Alex Caruso Questionable (game-time decision) Right Ankle 9.3 / 19.0 2026-11-04 Oct 29

Impact: Confirmed absences take 32.0 points per game of season scoring off the floor for Thunder. Game-time decisions: Thomas Sorber, Alex Caruso (9.3 ppg). If they play, expect a minutes limit; if not, the rotation shortens further.

Source: ESPN injury feed in the game summary, as of Nov 4, 1:50 AM PH time. “Questionable” reflects ESPN’s game-time-decision tag; the official NBA injury report is final.

How are Cavaliers and Thunder playing right now?

Cleveland Cavaliers: 3-2 in last 5 · 121.4 scored / 115.6 allowed per game · pace 100.6 · ORtg 118.1 · DRtg 112.5

Date Opp Result Pace
Oct 27 vs MIN W 127-125 101.5
Oct 29 vs WSH W 121-111 97.1
Oct 30 @ ATL L 111-114 99.3
Nov 1 @ MIL W 136-111 105.9
Nov 3 vs OKC L 112-117 99.3

Oklahoma City Thunder: 3-2 in last 5 · 108.8 scored / 113.2 allowed per game · pace 100.4 · ORtg 108.4 · DRtg 112.8

Date Opp Result Pace
Oct 26 vs LAC W 108-101 104.5
Oct 27 vs PHX W 125-114 102.4
Oct 29 @ DAL L 96-120 99.4
Nov 1 @ HOU L 98-119 96.4
Nov 3 @ CLE W 117-112 99.3

Home/away: Cavaliers are 1-2 on the road; Thunder are 3-0 at home (ESPN records).

Pace = possessions per 48 minutes; possessions = FGA − OREB + TOV + 0.44 × FTA, averaged for both teams, from each ESPN box score. ORtg/DRtg = points scored/allowed per 100 possessions over these five games.

Points scored and allowed in the last five games: Cleveland Cavaliers and Oklahoma City Thunder
Last five games, points for and against (ESPN box scores).

How do the Cavaliers and Thunder compare statistically?

Season stat Cavaliers Thunder
Points per game 119.7 108.0
Opp. points per game 116.1 107.7
FG% 47 44
3P% 37 32
Rebounds 47.9 46.6
Assists 29.0 21.1
Turnovers 14.0 13.7
Steals 7.6 7.9
Blocks 6.0 6.0

ESPN team statistics, as of Nov 4, 1:50 AM PH time.

Season stat comparison chart: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Season averages compared (ESPN).

What happened when Cavaliers and Thunder last met?

  • Nov 3, 2026: OKC 117 @ CLE 112

Season series: OKC leads series 1-0 (ESPN).

Which matchups decide Cavaliers vs Thunder?

Donovan Mitchell vs Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Donovan Mitchell: 21.9 pts, 5.3 reb, 5.4 ast, 46.8 FG%, 39.1 3P% in 7 games. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 28.4 pts, 4.3 reb, 4.0 ast, 45.1 FG%, 33.3 3P% in 7 games. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander carries the bigger scoring load; the matchup tilts to whichever defence forces him into lower-percentage shots.

Evan Mobley vs Isaiah Hartenstein

Evan Mobley: 19.1 pts, 8.0 reb, 3.6 ast, 57.6 FG%, 53.3 3P% in 7 games. Isaiah Hartenstein: 8.9 pts, 9.9 reb, 2.3 ast, 48.1 FG%, 0.0 3P% in 7 games. Evan Mobley carries the bigger scoring load; the matchup tilts to whichever defence forces him into lower-percentage shots.

What will decide the game tactically?

  • Tempo. Cavaliers have played faster over the last five (100.6 vs 100.4 possessions per 48). A game near the faster number favours the deeper bench; a grind favours the half-court team.
  • Form gap. Net rating over the last five: Cavaliers +5.6, Thunder -4.4 per 100 possessions.
  • Perimeter. Season 3P%: Cavaliers 37, Thunder 32. The team that wins the three-point volume battle usually covers the variance in a close line.
  • Ball security. Turnovers per game: Cavaliers 14.0, Thunder 13.7; live-ball turnovers feed transition points.
  • Glass. Rebounds per game: Cavaliers 47.9, Thunder 46.6.
  • Availability. Thunder without Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams. Check final status before tip-off; it moves the line more than any matchup.

What is the betting angle?

As of Nov 4, 1:50 AM PH time, Draft Kings (via ESPN’s scoreboard feed) lists OKC -2.5 with a total of 228.5. Our projection lands on 227 combined points, 1.4 below the posted total. Lines move on injury news; compare the number at tip-off with the one here before acting.

Score prediction

Editorial prediction: Cavaliers 115 – Thunder 112 (Cavaliers by 4).

Method: expected pace = average of both teams’ last-five pace (100.5); each side’s points = pace × (own ORtg + opponent DRtg) ÷ 200, with 1.5 points of home-court edge split between the sides. ESPN’s matchup predictor gives Cavaliers 38% and Thunder 62%. Five-game samples are noisy and injuries listed above are not modelled. This is an editorial estimate, not a guarantee or betting advice.

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What other PBA and NBA games are coming up?

Browse every preview on our NBA previews and PBA previews pages, or the full Sports section.

Frequently asked questions

What time is Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder in the Philippines?

Tip-off is Thursday, November 5 at 9:00 AM Philippine time (UTC+8), per ESPN's schedule feed.

Who is injured for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

As of Nov 4, 1:50 AM PH time (ESPN): Cleveland Cavaliers: Peyton Watson (Questionable), Jaylon Tyson (Questionable); Oklahoma City Thunder: Thomas Sorber (Questionable), Cason Wallace (Out), Chet Holmgren (Out), Jalen Williams (Out), Alex Caruso (Questionable). Check the official NBA injury report before tip-off.

What is the Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction?

Our editorial projection is Cavaliers 115, Thunder 112, built from each team's last-five pace and ratings. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Where is Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder played?

At Paycom Center.

About this article

Written by the GTAYA Editorial Team from the sources below, checked on November 4, 2026 1:50 AM PH time. All figures were fetched on Nov 4, 1:50 AM PH time; derived figures (pace, ratings, projection) show their formula. Injury statuses can change after publication. Charts are generated by gtaya.life from the figures above. Poster: player photos are freely licensed Wikimedia Commons images (cropped); where no licensed photo was found we show the player or team name only. Team logos are shown only to identify the teams (sources listed below); they remain the trademarks of their owners and do not imply any endorsement of, or affiliation with, gtaya.life or GTAYA.

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